Fully accept that it is not the most original of selection but the bet in the Cup final today between Chelsea has to be on the under and overs market.
Chelsea have scored for fun this season and have bagged 103 goals in the Premier League. Portsmouth have a porous defence. On the stats Chelsea average over 2.7 goals per game, and Portsmouth concede 1.7 goals. In 71% of Chelsea's games in the domestic league there has been more than 2.5 goals and whilst the figure is only 47% for Portsmouth we still favour the overs outcome.
In a match were betting should probably be kept on the low side the puntinplay recommendation is over 2.5 goals currently on offer at 1.67 with Coral. The stats say you have to play at this price.