Lavenoak Lad disappointed last time out but is fancied to bounce back with conditions in his favour in the 4.25 at Warwick.
The gelding relishes a slog in the mud, and with the going at the Midlands track likely to represent a bog he will be staying on over the stamina sapping 3m 5f jounrey when others have cried enough.
Although racing off a career high mark, the fact that he has only 10st to carry could well offset that negative.
The booking of the very promising conditional Nathan Sweeney also caches the eye, and he takes another valuable 7lb of the selctions back.
It's also interesting that there has been money about this morning for Simon Burrough's charge, and the 5-1 on offer at the moment will surely not last long. I can see him going off at around 7-2 as the gamble shows no sign of slowing down.
Recommended bet: 4pts win Lavenoak Lad (5-1 Skybet)