The pair have met 16 times and Nadal has won on 12 occasions so the best priced 4/9 is statistical value at least. If you look at the recent record then Murray has even more to fear – Nadal has won the last four meetings and the Spaniard is seven from nine going back to Indian Wells in 2009.
Murray last beat Nadal in the quarter-final of the Aussie Open in 2010 when Rafa retired through injury. In fact this is the clue that might give the Murray camp some hope. The Aussie surface was hard and they have played each nine times on this type of going. Nadal won the first three meetings but in the last six matches Murray holds a 4-2 lead.
At SW19 Murray blew a major chance to beat his adversary but he can go very close today. Murray at just over 2/1 is fair price and for the correct score jockeys 15/2 with Skybet a 3-1 victory looks the call.
