It's not what you want to hear but predicting any game in this year's npower Championship is going to be a thankless task.
The division really is wide open as the opening round of fixtures has proved.
What seemed to work on Saturday was looking at the strength of the line-ups when they were announced and making a judgment call then.
Well, it helped me land a fourfold yesterday and it helps appreciate just how the teams are shaping up after a summer of comings and goings.
Cardiff versus Sheffield United is Sunday's offering and it''s tough to call.
The Welsh side are 6/5 with the Blades a stand-out 13/5 at Totesport.
I've a work colleague who has backed Cardiff to go down but this is based more on their precarious financial position rather than the strength of their side.
This early in the season, it really does pay to be cautious and it's hard to recommend any bet on the outcome in the live fixture.
Jason Koumas makes some appeal at 14s with Bet365 and their generous each-way first scorer terms and how about Anthony Gerrard at a huge 40s with Coral's?
We're backing the Scouser to emulate his famous cousin by getting on the scoresheet.
