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Del Potro


..but punt in play



(First Published: Sunday 29th November 2009 at 13:20hrs GMT)


The little man from Volgograd still hasn't checked out and has made it to the final against Juan Martin del Potro at the O2 this afternoon. Kick off 14.30.

We think the 1.73 Del Potro with Coral is fair value in the free market economy (slightly less with the machine) but the  nature of the game will result in him trading at a bigger price in play. As we have highlighted before Davydenko is in the form of hisd life having won in Shanghai and Kuala Lumpar this autumn. He is determined performer and never lets go. The longer the rally the more likely he is to win the point.

In Shanghai he show class by beating a quality field that saw him see off Djokovic in the semi and Nadal in the final. He has made this marquee final on merit, after losing his first game against the Serb. He has also done puntinplay no harm by covering handicaps and we highlighted him as being to big at 25 on Tuesday. Unfortunately we advised a trade on Friday.

Del Potro also lost his first match, against Murray, but then beat Verdasco  sauce and Fedex. He is becoming a big match and a big point player. Next year he can dominate the sport.

Davydenko has been quick out of the traps all week. He has taken the first set in all his games. There is every chance he will do so again. The fact that Del boy only has a 50/50 split means the 2.1 (2.14 on Betfair) is value for the Russian., who should be fav. 

At puntinplay.com  we think it will go to three. The advice is back Davydenko to take the first set and then step in for Del Puntro on Juan Martin.          




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Del Puntro....Takes it in Three/Action Images

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