The head strong Matavia Bay has been crying out for a drop back to sprinting and looks overpriced at 20/1 in the 3.05 at Windsor.
Alan Jarvis' gelding often pulls too hard for his own good, but showed form when placed in two mile contests early in the year which give him a major shout in this 6f contest.
He was caught in the dying strides by Luca Cumani's useful Franciscan at Haydock back in April off a mark of 62 and followed up with another solid third to Robin Hoods Nay at kempton.
In the latter he blaze the trail and was clear three out before weakening badly and losing second close home - giving the impression that sprinting could be his game.
He has been heavily backed in his last two runs over a mile, but ruined his chances on both occasions by not settling.
Today should be a totally different cup of tea for him, as with two furlongs less to travel he can be given his head and allowed to bowl along at the head of affairs.
Given that he is now back down to a mark of 62 he is certainly well treated from a handicapping point of view and could well take some pegging back in this line-up.
To me he is no 20/1 shot, and at those odds makes plenty of each-way appeal.
Recommended bet: 2pts each-way Matavia Bay (20/1 generally available - BOG)
